‘Political Earthquake’? It Was Only a Warning Tremor
Five Reasons Why the Election Results Understate the Seismic Shift in British Politics.
A political earthquake is how many commentators have described it, yet the truth is that Thursday’s results were not an earthquake; they were only a warning tremor, a hint of what will come if first Reform, and later Restore, play their cards right and keep faith with their voters.
Watching the Labour party embark on a bloody leadership squabble, and the Tories trying to pass off the loss of nearly seats as a triumph (clue, how would you react if a Nigerian called Olukemi Adegoke calling themselves ‘Badenoch’ asked for your bank details?) it might at first sight be hard to see how things could get any worse for the old ‘parties of government’.
But it can, because the scale of the shift in public sentiment against them even now remains largely concealed by four factors which the mainstream media’s political pundits still either don’t understand or largely neglect to mention:
First, on the morning of May 7th, we lived in a country in which it was still possible to believe that the Conservative party was still the natural opposition to Labour, and that backing anyone else would be ‘a wasted vote’. 24 hours later, we woke up in a country in which it is a vote for the Tories which is liable to be wasted, and to risk letting Labour back in.
Second, despite dramatically increased turnouts in many areas, half of all registered electors still felt such weary contempt or cynical loathing for the whole political process that – even with wider choice of credible potential winners (to which, for all their faults, must be added the Greens) – they still didn’t bother to vote. “They’re all the same, and all to blame”, remains the position of the millions who still don’t bother to vote, even in general elections.
The coming months and years will see the Westminster parties, in particular the left, launch such vicious and hysterical attacks on Nigel Farage that they themselves will undermine the idea that “they’re all the same”. It is up to Reform by their actions in power in local government, and Restore by actions in local communities, to disprove the second part of the phrase.
I’m not saying that they will manage it, but it’s really not rocket science, and it’s in their hands. If either party manages to show that they are not in it for themselves and can get things done for their constituents, then they could go into future elections with a fresh block of votes which are completely unavailable to any of their rivals.
Third, there’s the gigantic elephant standing watching the democratic process from the outside: The ten million British citizens eligible to vote but not even on the electoral role, at least eight million of them working class whites. Some of these people are hiding from bailiffs, vengeful exes and such like, but the vast majority do not bother to register purely because they think that all politicians are scum and that non-one will ever represent them.
As I have written on Substack before, I know from the BNP’s Maryport experiment that the vast majority of these are among the strongest supporters of a tough nationalist line. I have no doubt that, if Restore was to train and organise its members to put voter registration at the heart of a rolling nationwide campaign, they could add a million new voters a year to the electoral tsunami which is still to come. Understand that I am not endorsing Rupert Lowe here, merely stating objective facts.
Fourth, in many of the councils involved in the election, only one third of the seats were up for grabs this year. In many areas, Reform took nearly every single one of those seats. That’s not enough to give them headlines about winning yet another council, but it puts them on track for equally dramatic gains – and control in a lot more places – next year.
The other thing to understand is that Reform (and, in Great Yarmouth, Restore) won because they at last provided a really credible alternative to Labour and the Tories, not because they actually ran good campaigns. The truth is that Farage’s party would have won hundreds more seats if its standard election fighting ‘doctrine’ was a patch on that of the LibDems, Greens and Labour. But Reform are at present so amateurish that they make even the geriatric Tories look slick. Looking ahead, Restore are, if anything, even worse.
But there is no special law of political nature which means that one or both of the parties of the ‘right’ cannot get their act together. “When the BNP hit a ward, they hit it hard. And they keep on hitting”, the LibDems repeatedly warned their local teams between 2001 and 2014. Again, it’s not rocket science, but it does take energy, dedication, organisation and a hunger to learn from others and to win.
I will analyse other key parts of the results over the next few days, as well as going on to examine what it all means for British nationalists. For now, I will finish by reaffirming the position I have taken consistently since first writing for you on Substack (and for years before that elsewhere):
There is no parliamentary road which leads to the salvation of the indigenous peoples of this country and the rebirth of Western Christendom. But electoral success is part of the mix by which they will be saved and reborn. And, from May 7th 2026, the way in which this will become the case is very much clearer. We’ll be back, in fact, we’ve never gone away, and our time will come again.
https://nickgriffin544956.substack.com/p/political-earthquake-it-was-only