Realpolitik Analysis of the Russia-China Commitment to Iran
How far the Iranian phase of the “Greater Israel Project” goes remains to be seen. While I appreciate the joint statements from China and Russia condemning the US-Israeli attacks on Iran, actions transcend words. If the US goes beyond a foot dip and cannonball dives into the Iranian pool, the stakes of this conflict will be high, going beyond the survival of the so-called “Axis of Resistance” and Iran’s survival as a nation-state. Also at stake would be the future of BRICS, BRI, the multi-polar order, and the security and stability of Russia and China. The same risks and rewards apply to the petrodollar and the US Anglo-Zionist Empire, both in its role as global hegemon and in its very existence as an empire.
It’s possible the Zionist-US attack on Iran is some crazed American-Israeli negotiating tactic or theatrical chaos distraction. Global finance turned chaos into a profitable well-oiled machine, so what often looks like chaotic insanity is really market manipulation. This could all be a Wall Street/ Tel Aviv insider trading scam with foreknowledge of the spikes and dips and the added plus of damaging Iran. “Buy low, sell high,” as they say. Or “follow the money.” Remember when the Wall Street Zionist insiders sold right before 9/11? Any Trump insiders who sold immediately before he made his first big super-steroid tariff speech and bought a day ahead of his public retraction, made a killing.
Conversely, we need to look at the recent string of Israeli actions that preceded this point.
Oct 7, 2023: Following a Hamas attack the Israelis had foreknowledge of, the Zionists started the Gaza genocide.
May 19, 2024: I believe with a reasonable degree of certitude that the Israelis (with US help) took out Iranian President Raisi and his inner circle in a helicopter sabotage crash. President Raisi was replaced with a much more Western-friendly President and cabinet.
July 31, 2024: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh is assassinated by Mossad in Tehran.
Sept 17, 2024: Mossad launches its exploding pager attack that severely damages Hezbollah’s officer corps.
Sept. 27, 2024: Mossad assassinates Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and his inner circle.
Oct 16, 2024: Mossad/IDF kill Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar and his inner circle.
Dec. 8, 2024: US-Zio forces conquer Syria, and President Assad flees to Russia. Assad was replaced by President al-Sharaa Alsah, a former CIA-Mossad jihadi leader. Similar to Eli Cohen, the Mossad agent who penetrated deep into the Syrian government in the 1960s, I believe with a reasonable degree of certitude that the current Syrian President is a Jewish-Israeli Mossad agent.
June 13, 2025: The Israelis bomb Iran, taking out air defense systems, political and military leaders, and scientists. I think it’s fair to say that Iran has a Mossad infiltration problem.
June 22, 2025: President Trump “orders” the bombing of Iran’s nuclear enrichment facility.
Based on the aforementioned flurry of activity and the short period in which it occurred, “Project Greater Israel” appears to be moving ahead at gas pedal to the floor speed. The Israelis seem serious.
However, even with all that prep work, the Israelis can’t defeat Iran without the US. Would the Israelis undertake such a high-stakes move sans a solid guarantee of American entry into the fray? The Israelis would look crazy and pathetic if the US left them hanging- unless the Israelis thought they could get away with a preemptive nuclear strike on Iran. However, an Israeli nuclear attack, even a limited one, would unleash incredible anti-Zionist global blowback. Then again, the world watched the live steam Gaza genocide and did nothing, I’m not sure the PR repercussions would be unsurvivable. Headline day 1: “The Israelis Nuke Iran.” Headline day 2: “Kardashians Announce New Season with Caitlyn Jenner and Ye.” (Perhaps a bit hyperbolic, but you get the point.)
With maybe 2 or 3 exceptions, Mossad has every major politician in the United States blackmailed and bribed, so one would assume that any Zionist war would receive a quick US rubber stamp.
However, to muddle things a bit more, I’m not sure all the elements of the oligarchy, Deep State, and Pentagon are on board with the US shooting its load into Iran first. While the Trump/ ultra-Zionist faction is super hot for Iran, other sectors likely want to save the stamina for a China confrontation, while those who see Russia as the big prize, fear a loss of interest in Ukraine.
To support the “ruling class difference of opinion” theory, notice how the corporate media is reporting on Iran. Before invading a country, the US government primes the public with a steady diet of X=Hitler, X being the leader of the target country. I haven’t heard a lot of Ayatollah=Hitler propaganda from the mainstream media. If US management was unified on Iran, I think we’d see more X=Hitler reporting.
If Mossad launched a “blame Iran” false flag on American soil, it would be a good indicator that the US is going all the way into Iran. However, the Zionists-neocons may feel that the US public is so checked out, dumbed down, or caught up in the struggle to pay the bills, that false flags are no longer needed to generate mass support for Zionist military adventures.
Based on recent events, the US “Israel-First” Iranhawks appear to be steering the ship, with perhaps “a destroyed Iran hurts China’s energy supply and provides a future invasion launch point” conciliatory salve for the US “war with China” faction.
To further confuse things, after some Iranian missiles hit a US military base in Qatar, President Trump announced on June 23, 2025, a ceasefire between Iran and Israeli forces. This is the same kind of pendulum swing he took with his hardcore tariff announcement. What Trump says is meaningless. Once again, one has to question whether this is ultimately some MIC-Wall Street-Tel Aviv insider trading scheme.
By the time you read this, Trump could swing the pendulum back to the opposite pole, halfway mark, three-quarters, or anywhere else. It’s theater of the insane- or insanely greedy.
I think some of the flip-flopping stems from oligarch/Deep State disunity. The current state of insanity works because the petrodollar Ponzi scheme can only continue through chaos. If controlled chaos is the game, then every lunatic act makes sense.
If we view the landscape through the controlled chaos lens, and if a full-on US-Zio vs Iran war does go down, what might it look like?
I doubt there’d be a huge Iraq-style ground invasion. Rather, US-Israeli forces would take their strategy from the Libya-Syria-Gaza playbook, i.e., produce chaos through saturation bombing and missile attacks that destroy the infrastructure necessary for a functioning society, e.g, schools, hospitals, energy grids, water and waste treatment facilities, food production, supply chains, factories. Weapon systems, uranium enrichment sites, and military organs would also be targeted. Oil and gas wells may or may not get attacked, as that could either fall under “spoils of war” or destructive market manipulation. A Pentagon bombing and missile/drone-focused campaign also limit the American body bag count, which helps mitigate negative US public opinion- not that that really matters anymore.
The US would also employ proxy armies. In the case of Iran, that means importing CIA-Mossad rent-a-jihadis and fomenting rebellion in Iran’s Azerbaijani Turkish, Kurdish, and other minority regions. The goal would be to break up Iran along ethnic lines, similar to Iraq and the former Yugoslavia.
Because Turks make up Iran’s largest minority, Türkiye would assist Israeli-US forces against Iran, as Türkiye stands to gain territory and a friendly population. Türkiye’s political strategy is to play both sides and pick up the pieces. Türkiye is also a NATO member, and until that changes, it will always side with the Israelis and Americans in the final round, as it did in Syria. The payback to Türkiye will come when the US-Zio Empire decides to use the Kurds to break up Türkiye. As an aside, the current President of Iran is of Turkish heritage.
The US doesn’t need to occupy Iran. It just needs to turn it into a failed and wrecked nation-state. That’s been the post-9/11 invasion strategy thus far.
How can Iran hurt Israeli and American forces? I can’t add anything you haven’t heard a million billion times (hyperbole anyone?) from the anti-empire analysts, so I’ll make it brief.
Iraq is a Shiite majority “nation.” It could launch massive missile strikes on Middle East-located US military installations.
The Houthis could attack US and Western commercial and naval shipping.
Iran could shut down the Strait of Hormuz, crippling the global energy supply, which could initiate a severe economic catastrophe.
Iranian missile attacks could light up Israeli cities and ports. US naval vessels and military outposts could also get blown up.
An extended Iranian quagmire would drain the American-Zio empire, possibly making that “graveyard of empires” saying come true. (They say that for both Afghanistan and Iran- so the US is taking big chances in the prophetic sayings department.)
I don’t think Iran would launch an attack against the US mainland. That would only galvanize the American public against Iran. If any US soil attacks took place, they’d likely originate from the Mossad-Deep State.
However, it’s not just Iran vs the US-Anglo Zionist empire. Remember the “Axis of Resistance?” We need to factor in Russia and China.
Russia and China could offer a range of zero-weak support to moderate-strong support for Iran.
Some reasons why Russia might offer zero-weak support to Iran:
- Russia is already stretched out in Ukraine.
- An Iranian quagmire without Russian involvement hastens the collapse of the US Anglo-Zionist Empire, eliminating or reducing a major existential threat.
- If the Strait of Hormuz shuts down, as a major energy exporter, Russia stands to make an incredible fortune.
- If the US-Israeli forces defeat Iran, China’s the next target, giving Russia an extended breather.
- Russia gets a favorable deal in Ukraine if it stays out of Iran.
- While not as bad as the US, Russia has a high percentage of dual-national Zionist oligarchs.
- 1.3 million Russian-Jews reside within the “Zionist entity.”* (*I mean the Israeli one, not the US one).
Some reasons why Russia might offer moderate-strong support to Iran:
- An Iranian quagmire with Russian support hastens the collapse of the US-Anglo Zionist Empire, eliminating a major existential threat to Russia.
- If the Strait of Hormuz shuts down, as a major energy producer, Russia stands to make an incredible fortune.
- Payback for Afghanistan, the post-Soviet collapse Wall Street raiding party, and Ukraine.
- Save BRICS.
- Today Iran, tomorrow China, the day after Russia.
Some reasons why China might offer zero-weak support to Iran:
- China has a long cultural history of not getting involved in foreign wars.
- An Iranian quagmire without Chinese support hastens the collapse of or greatly weakens the US-Anglo Zionist Empire, eliminating or reducing a major existential threat.
- To keep BRI supply chains and business going without fear of Mossad or CIA sabotage.
- To keep the CIA/Mossad from launching terror attacks and color revolutions within Chinese territory.
- China assessed the recent Iran-India port deal, which also alienated Pakistan, a Chinese ally, as well as the ease in which Mossad assassinated Iran’s political and military leadership, and concluded the level of Mossad infiltration in Iran was too high to take chances.
- US agrees to ease up on trade war.
- To placate the US-Anglo Zionist Empire for the short term to buy time to prepare for a future US confrontation.
Some reasons why China might offer moderate-strong support to Iran:
- An Iranian quagmire with Chinese support hastens the collapse of or greatly weakens the US-Anglo Zionist Empire, eliminating or reducing a major existential threat.
- Iran supplies China with a lot of energy. Reducing China’s energy supply gives the US Anglo-Zionist Empire a next-phase tactical advantage.
- Today Iran, tomorrow China.
- Protect BRICS. If Iran goes down, that’s certainly not a confidence builder for future prospects.
- Protect BRI. If Iran goes down, that’s not a confidence builder for future Sino-based business partnerships.
If we weigh in the numerous variables and factors, including the very real possibility of America making a dumb strategic play, as well as the pre-existing example of how China and Russia handled the collapse of Syria, I think China-Russia support for Iran in a protracted hot Zio-US conflict would manifest within the following parameters:
A- If the US-Israelis kept it to a mostly bombing/missile nation-state wrecking campaign with CIA-Mossad jihadis and ethno-color revolutions, then I think the China-Russia commitment to Iran would be weak to weak/moderate.
B- If the US puts boots on the ground, then I think the China-Russia commitment could rise to weak/moderate-moderate. To reach moderate/strong-strong commitment levels, US-Zio actions would need to set off a chain reaction that forced China and Russia to take serious measures.
China and Russia don’t want WW3, even though it’s already here. From my observation, their primary strategy is to avoid direct conflict with the Evil Empire, and let the empire hollow itself out through corruption and global overreach until crash day comes. If Iran needs to be sacrificed to accomplish that, so be it.
Although it has its merits, I disagree with that strategy, if in fact, such a strategy exists.
Before I explain further, I need to boil modern geopolitics down to its two distillate possibilities:
1- A one-world government run by a small super-rich transnational cabal already exists, and it’s playing kabuki theater using wars, fake countries, genocides, poverty, and pandemics to a) build George Orwell’s 1984 East Asia-Eurasia-Oceania model, b) incrementally cull the global population, or c) create some other dystopian nightmare.
2- Independent nation-states still exist, with Russia, China, and Iran being the last strong ones, and thus are on the hit list of the international banker-controlled US Anglo-Zionist Empire.
I’m going with door number 2. I concede door number one is possible, but I see enough evidence to keep the second door open.
One of Hitler’s first big international shock war moves was the remilitarization of the Rhineland. For the record, I think Hitler was justified in doing that, as the Versailles Treaty was illegitimate. Hitler was a spectacular gambler, which worked until it didn’t. At the time, French forces were stronger, and had they attacked the German troops entering the Rhineland, the French would have shut down Hitler’s first major military success, which would have likely stopped the sequence of expanding German victories that followed. It was only four years after German troops marched into the Rhineland that they paraded down the Champs-Élysées.
The “Axis of Resistance” ends if China and Russia abandon Iran. I never liked the name “Axis of Resistance” because the Axis lost WW2, and in popular culture, the Axis is perceived as the bad guy coalition, although that view might be shifting somewhat post-Gaza genocide. In any case, why plant a losing mental seed from the get-go? I suspect the “Axis of Resistance” name originated from a Mossad marketing firm. I’m henceforth calling it the “Triad Alliance.”
The US-Anglo Empire can’t be reasoned with, because these post-9/11 wars are bigger than the “Greater Israel Project.” It comes down to petrodollar hegemony and the security and longevity of international techno-banker rule. If Iran is wrecked, BRICS sinks and other alternative currency systems become less likely. The bankers need to keep the chaos rolling until they can pressure China into passing the Chinese version of the 1913 Federal Reserve Act.
If the “Triad Alliance” is broken, trust between the remaining partners dissolves, and then each member must fight the US Anglo-Zionist Empire as a solo entity in sequential order. Better to stand as a unified front. Once the alliance goes, it’s not coming back.
If the alliance members get divided and go solo, then much rests on the US-Zio Empire bleeding out in Iran, which is possible, but not guaranteed.
A business model that relies on endless war, societal destruction, genocide, weaponized mass migrations, poverty, and chaos, creates a dangerous whirlwind. Disassembling the Triad Alliance fortification could expose vulnerable inner structures to fierce elements.
https://www.unz.com/article/realpolitik-analysis-of-the-russia-china-commitment-to-iran